Modeling employment of university graduates

Modeling employment of university graduates preview image

1 collaborator

Default-person Hossein Sabzian (Author)

Tags

economic planning; 

Tagged by Hossein Sabzian over 7 years ago

Visible to everyone | Changeable by everyone
Model was written in NetLogo 6.0.1 • Viewed 735 times • Downloaded 97 times • Run 0 times
Download the 'Modeling employment of university graduates' modelDownload this modelEmbed this model

Do you have questions or comments about this model? Ask them here! (You'll first need to log in.)


WHAT IS IT?

This model is to answer following questions : 1- How do university-quality and industry-advancement affect the employment of university graduates? 1-1- What happens for the employment of university graduates if university-quality and industry-advancement are incoordinated? 1-2- What happens for the employment of university graduates if university-quality and industry-advancement are coordinated? 2- What are the most effective scenarios (parameters combinations ) to secure the highest rate of the employment of university graduates after graduation?

HOW IT WORKS

According to academic quality, universities are ranked into three grades of grade-1 (white), grade-2(cyan) and grade-3(gray).correspondingly, industries are ranked into three types of type-1 (high-tech with white color), type-2 (mid-tech with cyan color) and type-3 (low-tech with gray color) based on their advancement level.The core mechanism of employment is that the high-tech industries employ graduates of grade-1 universities, the mid-tech industries employ graduates of grade-2 universities and the low-tech industries only employ graduates of grade-3 universities.

HOW TO USE IT

"university-quality " is a slider for determining the quality of university system ranging from 0 to 100%.

"industry-advancement" is a slider for determining the modernity and technological level of industries of the country.

"spatial-spread switch " is On when the universities and industries are spatially spread and it is Off when they are concentrated in specific districs.

"num-of-industries" is a slider for determining the number of industries.

"unm-of-universities" is a slider for determining the number of universities.

"num-of-targeted-graduates slider" is for determining the number of graduates targeted for a 5-year period by ministry of education or other organizational planners.

"cap-of-hightech-industries" is a slider for determining the capacity level of high-tech industries.

"cap-of-midtech-industries" is a slider for determining the capacity level of mid-tech industries.

"cap-of-lowtech-industries" is a slider for determining the capacity level of low-tech industries.

THINGS TO NOTICE

"num-of-industries" slider depends on industrial district.

"num-of-universities" slider depends on university district.

THINGS TO TRY

Use "university-quality slider" and "industry-advancement slider" in the same direction and see unemployemet rate of university graduates.

Use "university-quality slider" and "industry-advancement slider" in the opposite direction and see unemployemet rate of university graduates.

Turn"spatial-spread switch" Off and compare unemployemet rate of university graduates whith when the switch is On.

in which parameter combination, the unemployment rate becomes as minimised as possible?

EXTENDING THE MODEL

Add a mechanism in a way that each industry can recruit graduates of each univesrity.

Add a mecahnism for entrepreneurship that when a unemployed graduate becomes 40 year old he or she try entrepreneurial activities ( with or withouth cooperation of other unempolyed graduates).

Add a mechanism for immigration that when a graduate can not find a good job, he or she immigrates to another country.

CREDITS AND REFERENCES

This model has been developed by Hossein Sabzian.He is a PhD student at Iran University of Science and Technology.His major interests include Agent Based Modeling, Statistical Inference, ICT industry, epistemology and history of physics and economics. You can email Hossein via 1-sabzeyan@yahoo.com 2-hossein_sabzian@pgre.iust.ac.ir

Comments and Questions

Please start the discussion about this model! (You'll first need to log in.)

Click to Run Model

breed [ industries industry] ;; industry breed
breed [ universities university] ;; university breed
breed [ students student] ;; student breed
industries-own [
ind-type ;; the types of industry including  high-tech, mid-tech and low-tech
capacity  ;; the capacity of each industry type
]
universities-own [
  grade ;; the rank of university including grade A, grade B and grade C.
]
students-own [
  job? ;; when the student has a job, it is true otherwise it is false.
  age ;; the age of students if exceeding 100, the student dies
  gradu-period ;; the period of student graduation ranging from 1 to ....n
]
globals [
  value ;; a value for counting graduation period
]

to setup
ca
resize-world -30 30 -16 16  ;; the size of world view
ask patches [ set pcolor magenta]

industrial-district ;; industrial district is established ( either spread or concentrated)
uinversity-district ;; university district is established (either spread or concentrated)

ask industries [
    set-type
    set-capacity
  ]
ask universities [
    set-grade
  ]

set value 0

reset-ticks
end 

to go
   ;; a specified number of targeted graduates should be achieved over 5 years so universities are called for meeting this need.
  if count students < num-of-targeted-graduates-for-a-5year-period [

    ask-universities-to-train
  ]

  ask students [
    update-age  ;; students update age
  ]
  ask students with [not job?] [

    come-to-market  ;; unemployed students come to market
    search-for-job  ;; ;; unemployed students search for job
  ]

  tick
end 

;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;helper procedures
;; This is a core mechanism for connecting graduates to universities.In this a high-tech industry just recruits grade A students
;; a mid-tech industry just recruits grade B students and a low-tech industry only recruits grade C students.

to search-for-job
  let target-industry one-of industries-here
  ifelse target-industry != nobody [
    if [capacity] of target-industry > 0 [
      if color = [color] of target-industry [setxy [xcor] of target-industry [ycor] of target-industry  set job? true ask target-industry [ set capacity capacity - 1 ]
      ]
    ]
  ]

  [ come-to-market ]
end 

;; a gtaduate come to market

to come-to-market
  rt random 90
  lt random 90
  if not can-move? 1 [ rt 180]
  fd 1
end 

to update-age
  if age > 21 [ set age age + 0.025 ] ;; since 40 ticks are 1 year
  if age  > 100 [ die]   ;; the limit of lifetime
end 

to ask-universities-to-train
  let gra-target ( num-of-targeted-graduates-for-a-5year-period / 5 ) ;;;  number of graduates per year
  if (ticks > 0 and (ticks mod 40 = 0) )  [  while  [ gra-target > 0 ] [
    ask one-of universities [hatch-students 1 [features] set gra-target gra-target - 1  ]
    ]
  set value value + 1
  ]
;
end 
;; features of a student when he or she gets graduated

to features
  set shape "person"
  set job? false  ;; has no job
  set age 22  ;; is at 22. this is for bachelors and can be extended.
  set gradu-period value + 1 ;; his or her graduation period is chosen
  fd 0.5
end 

;; universities grading system completely depends on the quanlity of universities. The grades range from A to C.

to set-grade
  ifelse random-float 1.0 <= university-quality
  [set grade 1 set color white] [ifelse random-float 1.0 <= university-quality [set grade 2 set color cyan ] [set grade 3 set color gray]]
end 

to set-capacity
   if ind-type = 1 [set capacity cap-of-high-tech-industries]
   if ind-type = 2  [ set capacity cap-of-mid-tech-industries]
   if ind-type = 3  [ set capacity cap-of-low-tech-industries]
end 

to set-type
  ifelse random-float 1.0 <= inudstry-advancement [set ind-type 1 set color white] [ifelse random-float 1.0 <= inudstry-advancement
    [set ind-type 2 set color cyan ] [set ind-type 3 set color gray]]
end 

to industrial-district
  ifelse spatial-spread? [
  while [count industries < num-of-industries] [
  ask one-of patches with [not any? turtles-here] [ sprout-industries 1 [set shape "pentagon"] ]
  ]
  ]
  [  ;set industrial-zone patches with [ pxcor >= 15 and pycor >= 8 ]
    while [count industries < num-of-industries]
    [ ask one-of industrial-zone with [not any? turtles-here] [ sprout-industries 1 [set shape "pentagon"] ]  ]
  ]
end 

to uinversity-district

  ifelse spatial-spread? [
  while [count universities < num-of-universities] [
  ask one-of patches with [not any? turtles-here] [ sprout-universities 1 [set shape "square"] ]
  ]
  ]
  [
    while [count universities < num-of-universities]
    [ ask one-of university-zone with [not any? turtles-here] [ sprout-universities 1 [set shape "square"] ]  ]
  ]
end 
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; University Zone  & industrial Zone

to-report university-zone
  let unive-zone patches with [ pxcor <= -12 and pycor <= -5 ]
  report  unive-zone
end 
;

to-report industrial-zone
  let indust-zone patches with [ pxcor >= 15 and pycor >= 8 ]
  report  indust-zone
end 
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;Industrial Capacity

to-report capacity-of-industries
  report sum [capacity] of industries
end 

to-report total-capacity

  let high-techs (count industries with [ind-type = 1 ] * cap-of-high-tech-industries)
  let mid-techs (count industries with [ind-type = 2 ] * cap-of-mid-tech-industries)
  let low-techs (count industries with [ind-type = 3 ] * cap-of-low-tech-industries)
  report (high-techs + mid-techs + low-techs  )
end 

There is only one version of this model, created over 7 years ago by Hossein Sabzian.

Attached files

File Type Description Last updated
Modeling employment of university graduates.png preview Preview for 'Modeling employment of university graduates' over 7 years ago, by Hossein Sabzian Download

This model does not have any ancestors.

This model does not have any descendants.