Ecology of Lyme 1
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;;----- Agent types breed [blticks bltick] breed [mice mouse] breed [squirrels squirrel] breed [possums possum] breed [chipmunks chipmunk] blticks-own [infected? fed?] ;; larval ticks feed once and may become carriers of Lyme as a result mice-own [body-burden reservoir-competence host-quality] ;; each species can carry Lyme and have a probability of transmitting Lyme squirrels-own [body-burden reservoir-competence host-quality] possums-own [body-burden reservoir-competence host-quality] chipmunks-own [body-burden reservoir-competence host-quality] to setup ca ;; color the patches ask patches [set pcolor 63] ;; intialize breeds and randomly distribute them in the world create-blticks larval-ticks [ set shape "spider" set color black set size 0.5 set infected? FALSE set fed? FALSE setxy random-xcor random-ycor ] create-mice mouse-density [ set shape "mouse side" set color gray set size 2.5 set body-burden 28 set reservoir-competence 0.91 set host-quality 0.493 setxy random-xcor random-ycor ] create-squirrels squirrel-density [ set shape "squirrel" set color gray set size 3 set body-burden 142 set reservoir-competence 0.02 set host-quality 0.172 setxy random-xcor random-ycor ] create-chipmunks chipmunk-density [ set shape "chipmunk" set color brown set size 2.5 set body-burden 36 set reservoir-competence 0.57 set host-quality 0.243 setxy random-xcor random-ycor ] create-possums possum-density [ set shape "possum" set color gray + 3 set size 3 set body-burden 254 set reservoir-competence 0.03 set host-quality 0.035 setxy random-xcor random-ycor ] reset-ticks end to go ;; stop when all ticks have fed ;if all? blticks [ fed? ] [ stop ] if ticks = 1000 [stop] ;; have each breed move at a different speed move ;; ticks will feed on a host if one is on the same patch ask blticks [feed] tick end to move ;; all hosts move randomly around the world ask squirrels [ left random 50 right random 50 repeat 8 [fd 0.1] ] ask mice [ left random 50 right random 50 repeat 1 [fd 0.1] ] ask possums [ left random 50 right random 50 repeat 6 [fd 0.1] ] ask chipmunks [ left random 50 right random 50 repeat 2 [fd 0.1] ] end to feed ;; define local variables let pInfected 0 let pFed 0 let burden 0 ;;find a host, exclude other ticks let host one-of other turtles-here with [member? self blticks = FALSE ] ;; set local variables to the host's properties ;; for each feeding event if larva has not aready fed if host != nobody and not fed?[ ask host [ set pFed host-quality set pInfected reservoir-competence set burden body-burden ] ;; ticks feed once, molt, and become larger ;; survival is determined based on the host quality ;; infection status is determined based on the host's reservoir competence if random 254 <= burden [ ;; is host below its body burden? ifelse random-float 1.0 <= pFed ;; does host feed larva? [ set fed? TRUE ;; feed set size size * 2 ;; molt if random-float 1.0 <= pInfected ;; did B.burgdorferi transfer? [ set infected? TRUE ;; if so change infection status set color red ;; and color ] ] [ die ] ;; else larva dies ] ] end to-report DON report count blticks with [fed?] end to-report DIN report count blticks with [infected?] end to-report NIP report 100 * DIN / DON end to reset ;; resets model parameters to intial satate set larval-ticks 1000 set mouse-density 40 set squirrel-density 8 set possum-density 1 set chipmunk-density 20 end
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File | Type | Description | Last updated | |
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Ecology of Lyme 1.png | preview | Preview for 'Ecology of Lyme 1' | over 5 years ago, by Michael Zito | Download |
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Michael Zito
The parameters used in this model are from
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Felicia_Keesing/publication/325026242_Tick-borne_disease_risk_in_a_forest_food_web/links/5b3a2b404585150d23ef5ab8/Tick-borne-disease-risk-in-a-forest-food-web.pdf
Posted over 5 years ago