# Newcomb's problem

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breed [ players player ] breed [predictors predictor ] players-own [ choice score linked? ] predictors-own [ %correct linked? ] to setup ca reset-ticks create-players 1000 [ setxy random-xcor random-ycor set score 0 ifelse random 2 = 1 [ set choice "AB" ] [ set choice "B"] set shape "person" set color white set linked? false ] create-predictors 1000 [ setxy random-xcor random-ycor set shape "person" set color red set linked? false set-%correct ;; set each predictor's chance of getting the prediction correct ] end to go ask players [ link-up choice-prediction-discovery ] ;; after one round, reset all links ask links [die] ask turtles [set linked? false] tick if ticks >= 20 [stop] end to link-up if (not linked?) [create-link-with one-of other predictors with [linked? != true] set linked? true ask link-neighbors [ set linked? true ] ] end to choice-prediction-discovery ;; to find out the choice and the prediction let %predictive-power item 0 [%correct] of link-neighbors let player-choice [choice] of self ; the variable player-choice is set to the choice of the turtle that calls this function ifelse random-float 1 <= %predictive-power [ let predicted-choice choice ;; if predictive power is correct if predicted-choice = "AB" and choice = "AB" [ set score score + 1000 ] if predicted-choice = "AB" and choice = "B" [ set score score + 0 ] if predicted-choice = "B" and choice = "AB" [ set score score + max-amount-in-B + 1000 ] if predicted-choice = "B" and choice = "B" [ set score score + max-amount-in-B ] ] ;; if predictive power is wrong, then the predicted-choice would be the opposite of the choice ;; such that if the choice is "AB", the predicted-choice would be "B", and if the choice is "B", the predicted-choice would be "AB" [ let predicted-choice choice ;; the calculation of the score will be flipped if predicted-choice = "B" and choice = "AB" [ set score score + 1000 ] if predicted-choice = "B" and choice = "B" [ set score score + 0 ] if predicted-choice = "AB" and choice = "AB" [ set score score + max-amount-in-B + 1000 ] if predicted-choice = "AB" and choice = "B" [ set score score + max-amount-in-B ] ] end to set-%correct if average-accuracy = 0 [set %correct 0] if average-accuracy = 0.25 [set %correct random-float 0.5] if average-accuracy = 0.5 [set %correct random-float 1] if average-accuracy = 0.6 [set %correct random-float 0.4 + 0.4] if average-accuracy = 0.75 [set %correct random-float 0.5 + 0.5] if average-accuracy = 0.9 [set %correct random-float 0.2 + 0.8] if average-accuracy = 1 [set %correct 1] end

There is only one version of this model, created 4 months ago by Ronald Paul Ng.

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