SIIR
No preview image
Model was written in NetLogo 6.4.0
•
Viewed 133 times
•
Downloaded 2 times
•
Run 0 times
Do you have questions or comments about this model? Ask them here! (You'll first need to log in.)
Comments and Questions
Please start the discussion about this model!
(You'll first need to log in.)
Click to Run Model
globals [ b2 c3 ] turtles-own [;; Turtle characteristics infectious? ;; note: symptomatics have the virus but not infectious (since they're assumed to be quarantined) infection_state ;; presymptomatic, asymptomatic, symptomatic dead ;; is alive [true/false] immune ;; is immune [true / false] ;recovered or susceptible inc_p ; incubation period for presymptomatics ;at the end they bifurcates to either asymp or symp ;note:Since there's already a global variable 'incubation period', they can't be of the same name ons_p ; (onset period) symp or asymp at the end of this period, bifurcates to recovered or dead (if symp) antibody_duration ;; if not immune auto 0 else the inverse of the set antibody decay ] to setup ;; this procedure sets up the simulation for start clear-all set b2 1 - b1 set c3 1 - c2 create-turtles number_turtles [ setxy random-xcor random-ycor set infectious? false set infection_state "susceptible" set shape "person" set dead false set immune false set inc_p 0 set ons_p 0 set antibody_duration 0 ] ask one-of turtles [ set infectious? true set infection_state "presymptomatic" set inc_p incubation_period ;set infection_state "asymptomatic" ;set ons_p onset_period ] ;;one gets infected ask turtles [recolor] reset-ticks end to go ;; each tick of simulation turtle do this if all? turtles [infectious?] [stop] if all? turtles [infectious? = false] [stop] ask turtles [move] ask turtles [spread] ask turtles [transform] ask turtles [recover] ask turtles [recolor] tick end to move if dead = false and infection_state != "symptomatic" ;at the simplest form, symptomatics won't move since they're assumed to be quarantined [ ;ig better if there are specific patches that is either their home or the hospital to be quarantined in (future endeavor) right random 150 left random 150 fd 1 ] end to spread ifelse infection_state != "susceptible" [] [ if any? other turtles-here in-radius 1 with [infectious?] [ if immune = false [ if random-float 1.0 < infection_rate [ set infectious? true set infection_state "presymptomatic" set inc_p incubation_period if connection [ ask self [create-links-from other turtles-here with [infectious?]] ] ] ] ] ;; checking if there is virus near this agent ] end to transform ;change states ;presymptomatic bifurcation ;presymptomatic to symptomatic - b1 ;presymptomatic to asymptomatic - b2 if infection_state = "presymptomatic" and infectious? = true [ ifelse inc_p = 0 [ if b1 > b2 [ ifelse random-float 1 < b1 [ set infection_state "symptomatic" set infectious? false set ons_p onset_period] [ set infection_state "asymptomatic" set ons_p onset_period] ] if b2 > b1 [ ifelse random-float 1 < b2 [ set infection_state "asymptomatic" set ons_p onset_period] [ set infection_state "symptomatic" set infectious? false set ons_p onset_period] ] if b2 = b1 [ ifelse random-float 1.0 < 0.5 [ set infection_state "symptomatic" set infectious? false set ons_p onset_period] [ set infection_state "asymptomatic" set ons_p onset_period] ] ] [ set inc_p inc_p - 1 ] ] ;recovered goes back to susceptible after some time if infection_state = "recovered" and infectious? = false and immune = true [ ifelse antibody_duration = 0 [ set infection_state "susceptible" set immune false ] [ set antibody_duration antibody_duration - 1] ] end to recover ;symptomatic to recover or death? ;asymptomatic to recover? if infection_state = "asymptomatic" and infectious? = true [ ifelse ons_p = 0 [ set infection_state "recovered" set infectious? false set immune true set antibody_duration 1 / antibody_decay ][ set ons_p ons_p - 1] ] if infection_state = "symptomatic" and infectious? = false [ ;either death or recovery ifelse ons_p = 0 [ if c2 > c3 [ ifelse random-float 1 < c2 [ set infection_state "recovered" set infectious? false set immune true set antibody_duration 1 / antibody_decay] [ set infection_state "dead" set dead true ] ] if c3 > c2 [ ifelse random-float 1 < c3 [ set infection_state "dead" set dead true] [ set infection_state "recovered" set infectious? false set immune true set antibody_duration 1 / antibody_decay] ] if c2 = c3 [ ifelse random-float 1.0 < 0.5 [ set infection_state "recovered" set infectious? false set immune true set antibody_duration 1 / antibody_decay] [ set infection_state "dead" set dead true] ] ][ set ons_p ons_p - 1] ] end to recolor ;green-susceptible ;yellow-presymptomatic ;red-asymptomatic ;violet-symptomatic ;blue-recovered ;black-dead if infectious? = false and infection_state = "susceptible" [set color gray + 1] if infectious? and infection_state = "presymptomatic" [set color yellow] if infectious? and infection_state = "asymptomatic" [set color red] if infectious? = false and infection_state = "symptomatic" [set color violet] if immune [set color blue] if dead [set color black] end ;;;;;;;;;;;;; to-report b2-value report 1 - b1 end to-report c3-value report 1 - c2 end to-report antibody-duration report 1 / antibody_decay end ;;;;;;;;;;;;; to-report susceptible report count turtles with [infection_state = "susceptible"] end to-report presymptomatic report count turtles with [infection_state = "presymptomatic"] end to-report asymptomatic report count turtles with [infection_state = "asymptomatic"] end to-report symptomatic report count turtles with [infection_state = "symptomatic"] end to-report recovered report count turtles with [immune = true] end to-report deceased report count turtles with [dead = true] end
There is only one version of this model, created 7 months ago by Neal Clarin.
Attached files
No files
This model does not have any ancestors.
This model does not have any descendants.